AI's Big Six Debate in Wuzhen: Will AGI

AI's Big Six Debate in Wuzhen: Will AGI Arrive in 10 Years or 30? A Comprehensive Analysis of Industry Status and Future Trends

 

During the 2025 World Internet Conference Wuzhen Summit, a brilliant collision of ideas among the world's top AI forces unfolded. Whether it was the display of technological achievements at the "Six Dragons Wuzhen Dialogue" or the fierce debate on Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) at the roundtable forum of Elizabeth Queen Prize for Engineering laureates, both outlined the current development pattern and infinite possibilities of the AI industry for us.

 

Wuzhen Dialogue: Dual Breakthroughs in Technology Landing and Ethical Norms

 

On November 6th, the "Six Dragons Wuzhen Dialogue" was held as scheduled. Participating enterprises hold 78% of the core patents in the global AI field, making this forum an important venue for formulating AI industry rules.

 

Jensen Huang, CEO of NVIDIA, and Wang Xing, founder of Yushu Technology, engaged in a fierce confrontation around AI ethics. Meanwhile, DeepSeek launched the world's first quantifiable AI moral evaluation system, increasing the transparency of AI decisions by 78% and providing a practical solution for the implementation of ethical norms. Yushu Technology's non-invasive neural interaction device also attracted much attention, with its mind-reading typing accuracy reaching as high as 92%, turning "brain-computer dialogue" from science fiction into reality. Alibaba Cloud made a heavyweight release of the first artificial intelligence quantum computing platform, increasing the speed of complex algorithm operation by 300 times. This breakthrough is expected to shorten the drug development cycle by 60%, bringing revolutionary changes to fields such as life sciences.

 

Roundtable Debate: The Controversy Over AGI's Timeline Ignites the Venue

 

On November 7th, a roundtable discussion bringing together "titanic" figures in the AI industry focused on the development path of AGI. Three founders of deep learning—Geoffrey Hinton, Yoshua Bengio, Yann LeCun—ImageNet initiator Fei-Fei Li, GPU computing architecture chief designer Bill Dally, and the biggest promoter of AI industrialization Jensen Huang, formed the luxurious lineup of this peak dialogue and launched a lively debate on when AGI will arrive.

 

Radical Camp: AGI to be Realized by 2035, Self-Evolving Models Accelerate Breakthroughs

 

The "radical camp" composed of Hinton and Dally holds an optimistic attitude. They firmly believe that AI will realize AGI within 10 years and may even surpass human intelligence. Hinton said that the "emergent abilities" shown by current large models have far exceeded expectations, and according to this development speed, it is fully possible to realize AGI by 2035. Dally revealed that OpenAI is developing a "self-evolving model" that can independently analyze errors and complete corrections, with an iteration speed 5 times faster than before. This technology will become an important accelerator for AGI breakthroughs.

 

Prudent Camp: AGI Needs at Least 30 Years, Common Sense Deficit and Ethical Risks to be Addressed

 

Yann LeCun and Fei-Fei Li uphold the "prudent camp" stance, believing that the realization of AGI will take at least 30 years, and various technical risks must be guarded against in the process. LeCun pointed out sharply that current AI has a fatal shortcoming of "lack of common sense", and solving this problem may require a brand-new algorithm architecture rather than simple iteration on the basis of existing technologies. Fei-Fei Li pays more attention to ethical and safety issues in AI applications. She emphasized that the landing of AI in people's livelihood fields such as medical care and education involves many ethical challenges such as privacy protection and fairness, and a sound regulatory system must be established in advance.

 

Middle Ground: Step-by-Step Progress, Growing in Cyclic Iteration

 

Jensen Huang stood on the "middle ground" and gave a more rational judgment. He believes that the pace of AI development will show a "step-by-step advancement" trend—it will neither break through as quickly as the radicals expect nor progress as slowly as the prudent fear. In his view, AI development will inevitably go through a cycle of "technological breakthrough—industrial landing—problem exposure—optimization and adjustment", and its speed and quality will be comprehensively affected by factors such as technological maturity, industrial demand, and social acceptance.

 

From the accelerated landing of technological achievements to the gradual improvement of ethical norms, from the fierce debate on the timeline of AGI's realization to the rational thinking on the development path, this appointment in Wuzhen shows us that the AI industry is in a critical node full of opportunities and challenges. In the future, with the continuous iteration of technology and the constant improvement of rules, AI will surely profoundly change our world with a more stable and safe attitude.